Breaking the Fifth-year Curse: Transition Planning for Presidents Seeking Reelection Has Been Under-explored and Undervalued
After winning reelection, fifth-year presidents should be well positioned to pursue their policy agenda. Modern two-term presidents, however, have tended to struggle in their fifth year. This is largely because recent administrations viewed the transition from a first to a second term as a continuation rather than a time of change and renewal.
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